noviceprotrader
0xbbd483e0e7532042c2b73c2e5d5cf52b25b1b2fd
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $216.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.335 | $192.87 | +$23.27 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.030 | $23.33 | −$36.18 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:10 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.3808876041 | $35.00 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.2615477687 | $115.67 |
| 09-07 17:13 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.4459999889 | $18.93 |
| 09-07 17:13 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0805521701 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 20:05 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0606074795 | $9.51 |