yoyoyo543
0xbbd2c54de2ef3c337b5a9b221a54981ba22d9b1a
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $339.8k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.185 | $2.2k | +$947.28 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.646 | 0.675 | $1.0k | +$43.45 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.025 | $26.74 | −$326.26 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.380 | $3.79 | −$1.21 |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.017 | $1.65 | −$14.35 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.37 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.21 |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$384.69 |
| Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.160Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$2.0kat 0.150Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.4kat 0.710Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
- +$920.08at 0.392Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$716.33at 0.857Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:28 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 05:24 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.105 | $105.00 |
| 08-12 04:33 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.05162 | $51.62 |
| 08-12 04:18 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.14612278 | $146.12 |
| 07-11 22:03 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 07-09 07:20 | Canada's population Up or Down this year? | SELL | 0.70704 | $7.07 |
| 05-31 20:33 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0676666639 | $243.61 |
| 05-31 20:33 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0714504115 | $635.89 |
| 05-18 18:33 | Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.48 |
| 05-10 02:50 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.63 | $184.00 |
| 05-01 14:19 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $267.96 |
| 05-01 14:18 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 20:00 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $180.65 |
| 04-13 03:41 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.58 | $73.38 |
| 04-13 03:32 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.44 |