eqr-rwa
0xbbd2118b4567ad20b44236c3496cc3073b88a16a
- Realised P&L
- $-11.99
- Volume
- $348.64
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $18.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF released from custody in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.978 | $9.78 | +$0.18 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.022 | $5.35 | −$4.64 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.345 | $3.45 | −$0.80 |
| Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun · Chicago Sky | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will India win? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
| ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League B: Bahrain vs Uganda · Uganda | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.51at 0.412Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$1.00at 0.667Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?
- +$0.68at 0.962Will England win?
- +$0.23at 0.866Will India win?
- +$0.02at 0.981Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 07:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.688 | $10.95 |
| 08-28 07:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6890584295 | $10.97 |
| 08-28 07:01 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 08-28 07:00 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.11 |
| 08-28 06:58 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.4399998669 | $1.19 |
| 08-28 03:20 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.4399999173 | $1.49 |
| 08-26 09:28 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $9.59 |
| 08-26 09:28 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999961 | $9.99 |
| 08-25 09:50 | Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun | BUY | 0.679999918 | $1.99 |
| 08-25 01:32 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.6899999491 | $1.49 |
| 08-24 07:33 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.425 | $4.25 |
| 08-24 02:30 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.6699999461 | $1.99 |
| 08-24 01:45 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.6699999461 | $1.99 |
| 08-24 01:43 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.6699999461 | $1.99 |
| 08-24 01:40 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.99 |