qww1
0xbbcff1374cbb413288b884a882fd9305d29720ae
- Realised P&L
- $-589.00
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 8,551
- Open portfolio
- $391.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,551
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? · No | 0.545 | 0.455 | $227.50 | −$45.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.307 | 0.225 | $67.50 | −$24.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.055 | $54.98 | −$144.96 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? · No | 0.128 | 0.136 | $40.65 | +$2.24 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? · No | 0.349 | 0.002 | $0.45 | −$104.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$692.94at 0.520MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$361.63at 0.041Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
- +$360.66at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?
- +$352.70at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET
- +$342.29at 0.193US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.1280315333 | $38.41 |
| 09-22 17:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $4.65 |
| 09-22 17:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $17.36 |
| 09-22 17:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6224242424 | $41.08 |
| 09-22 17:46 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.19 | $12.35 |
| 09-22 14:50 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $33.60 |
| 09-22 14:48 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.44 | $37.40 |
| 09-22 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 09-22 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 02:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.587 | $138.10 |
| 09-22 02:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.579 | $57.90 |
| 09-22 02:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.5487056667 | $164.61 |
| 09-22 02:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $33.00 |
| 09-22 02:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.666 | $331.18 |