0xbbc39c6f33eeac911105cdc1cefdccb266471183
0xbbc39c6f33eeac911105cdc1cefdccb266471183
- Realised P&L
- $-37.32
- Volume
- $745.70
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $4.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.987 | $2.47 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.492 | 0.695 | $1.71 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.62at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?
- +$3.48at 0.234Solana Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET
- +$2.21at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$1.74at 0.375Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$1.40at 0.432Solana Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4921900423 | $1.21 |
| 09-30 04:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.45 |
| 09-29 16:42 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9739999891 | $1.07 |
| 09-29 16:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 29? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.63 |
| 09-29 16:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.10 |
| 09-28 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.5899999762 | $1.24 |
| 09-28 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.47 |
| 09-28 04:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9789999974 | $1.87 |
| 09-26 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.08 |
| 09-24 16:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9859999967 | $1.18 |
| 09-24 04:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.9389999577 | $1.22 |
| 09-24 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.50 |
| 09-24 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.54 |
| 09-23 16:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |