0xbbc20c6fe2cd3ced245a819812896397155cc129
0xbbc20c6fe2cd3ced245a819812896397155cc129
- Realised P&L
- $-12.00
- Volume
- $909.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.029 | $1.48 | −$3.52 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.095 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-21 20:27 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 20:27 | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 20:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999895 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 20:26 | Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 20:26 | Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 20:13 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 12:16 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.0329999897 | $3.00 |
| 01-21 12:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 01-21 12:14 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |