0xbBbb6A27D3eE816F2559a4060049DAAde0Ef4589-1778956270845
0xbbbb6a27d3ee816f2559a4060049daade0ef4589
- Realised P&L
- $31.54
- Volume
- $475.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.125 | $4.13 | −$6.76 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.840 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.025 | $0.54 | −$2.19 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.011 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.44at 0.410US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.11at 0.903Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.08at 0.923Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?
- +$0.01at 0.986Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 16:25 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $17.8k |
| 05-18 14:17 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.962 | $17.8k |
| 05-18 13:54 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.962 | $17.8k |
| 05-18 13:35 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.962 | $17.8k |
| 05-18 12:50 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.961 | $146.07 |
| 05-18 12:49 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.962 | $17.3k |
| 05-18 12:13 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.963 | $277.63 |
| 05-18 11:32 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $17.3k |
| 05-18 10:39 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.963 | $17.5k |
| 05-18 09:41 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $17.5k |
| 05-18 09:07 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $17.5k |
| 05-18 08:34 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.964 | $49.16 |
| 05-18 08:21 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $18.1k |
| 05-18 07:44 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | BUY | 0.97098708 | $17.5k |
| 05-18 07:23 | Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.972 | $101.09 |