sailor82
0xbbb72a812cfbc5217d77c0a0018c71f174d3a11a
- Realised P&L
- $35.7k
- Volume
- $1.78M
- Markets traded
- 7,652
- Open portfolio
- $17.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,652
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.640Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 8?
- +$1.5kat 0.523Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.354Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?
- +$1.1kat 0.714Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 18?
- +$1.1kat 0.439Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-18 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9653668417 | $38.61 |
| 09-18 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.76 |
| 09-18 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.7859668586 | $55.97 |
| 09-18 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.921 | $4.61 |
| 09-18 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |