PolyBot

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Traders

sailor82

0xbbb72a812cfbc5217d77c0a0018c71f174d3a11a

Realised P&L
$35.7k
Volume
$1.78M
Markets traded
7,652
Open portfolio
$17.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,652
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No0.6520.535$2.5k$544.30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.6410.830$1.4k+$327.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.7580.955$1.3k+$262.67
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No0.6540.545$1.1k$215.48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 18? · No0.9670.855$994.37$130.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18? · No0.9430.994$927.73+$47.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.4220.605$641.93+$194.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.5330.465$595.35$87.30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 18? · No0.9581.000$519.39+$21.47
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.5400.320$392.74$269.94
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? · No0.7621.000$344.39+$81.87
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.7830.615$341.31$93.24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18? · No0.8440.745$315.89$41.86
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18? · No0.9680.965$214.23$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 18? · Yes0.3160.998$199.50+$136.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 18?BUY0.97$4.85
09-18 17:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.9653668417$38.61
09-18 17:45Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.96$4.80
09-18 17:40Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.9$0.76
09-18 17:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18?BUY0.7859668586$55.97
09-18 17:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.96$4.80
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.92$4.60
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.8$4.00
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.42$2.10
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.63$3.15
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.46$2.30
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.35$2.10
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 19?BUY0.68$3.40
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 19?BUY0.921$4.61
09-18 16:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.95$4.75