CaBet
0xbbaf2ca4fec5628cb0f8ff5388acd3c93fdd9823
- Realised P&L
- $725.44
- Volume
- $89.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.420 | 1.000 | $500.00 | +$290.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25? · No | 0.490 | 1.000 | $500.00 | +$255.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.525 | $262.50 | +$22.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.510 | $255.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? · No | 0.440 | 0.490 | $245.00 | +$25.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27? · No | 0.450 | 0.475 | $237.50 | +$12.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.026 | $13.25 | −$231.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.00at 0.410Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 6?
- +$569.95at 0.430Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?
- +$539.75at 0.460Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 5?
- +$500.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
- +$500.00at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 09:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 10? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-28 13:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 04-23 07:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24? | SELL | 0.029301003 | $29.30 |
| 01-30 17:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 1? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |