mejortao
0xbbacbcf5972b3aa05c200f894dbaec663db8fc80
- Realised P&L
- $-123.94
- Volume
- $94.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $14.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.195 | $14.17 | +$3.22 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.73 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.44at 0.992Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$75.35at 0.623Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$72.16at 0.180Raptors vs. Thunder
- +$57.57at 0.430Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- +$30.15at 0.757Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 06:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.15 |
| 10-01 06:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-22 13:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.963 | $818.55 |
| 08-20 12:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.997 | $797.60 |
| 08-09 14:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.61 | $96.98 |
| 07-28 14:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.987 | $690.90 |
| 07-22 14:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $138.91 |
| 07-21 15:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0209583333 | $5.03 |
| 07-13 13:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $34.08 |
| 06-20 14:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.977 | $0.10 |
| 06-04 11:27 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.17 |
| 06-04 04:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? | BUY | 0.984 | $393.60 |
| 05-19 10:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 04-14 13:49 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.913 | $74.21 |