PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

JohnDoe19

0xbbabe195945c4166df4c529723013be6ec305b36

Realised P&L
$62.25
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$253.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3080.295$95.69$4.31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1100.105$95.45$4.54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0120.007$62.50$37.50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$200.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3350.000$0.00$34.38
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$50.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$96.26
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.4800.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 20:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999997$96.26
09-02 12:332026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.109999999$100.00
08-18 10:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.012$100.00
08-18 10:05Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3082730531$100.00
07-16 12:07Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4169999984$100.00
07-15 09:18Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3349999957$34.38
07-15 09:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999985$100.00
07-15 08:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3174999988$100.00
07-12 08:37Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2899999981$100.00
07-07 09:38Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.4799999983$100.00
07-04 23:32Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-04 23:23Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999968$50.00
11-05 09:40Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.2739999907$19.87
11-05 09:35Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6209999954$126.00
11-05 08:16Will Trump win 5 swing states?BUY0.1899999892$14.13