0xbbab3ffd4c93cb2535ff9eabc05d1e77617d1ad6
0xbbab3ffd4c93cb2535ff9eabc05d1e77617d1ad6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.40
- Volume
- $256.02
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.670 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.515 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:58 | Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:56 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:55 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:50 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3469999254 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:51 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:51 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:10 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998999 | $1.31 |
| 09-20 15:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 02:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:58 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |