gdr4ret
0xbba64505d9a908b17f0daf17c3cee032c8e279ca
- Realised P&L
- $-7.13
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? · No | 0.960 | 0.930 | $8.08 | −$0.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on August 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on August 21?
- +$12.63at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 10?
- +$0.91at 0.860Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 26.5
- +$0.57at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 28?
- +$0.49at 0.967Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 00:36 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.34 |
| 10-04 03:48 | Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $5.59 |
| 09-27 14:46 | Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 27.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.26 |
| 07-06 14:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.75 |
| 07-02 13:39 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $13.10 |
| 06-23 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.9810067682 | $11.60 |
| 06-15 04:44 | Spread: Iraq (-1.5) | BUY | 0.988 | $8.83 |
| 06-12 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13? | BUY | 0.965 | $14.30 |
| 05-27 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.39 |