0xbba5410d3e4bcde73223c15dfd11bb7b4adfb7ab
0xbba5410d3e4bcde73223c15dfd11bb7b4adfb7ab
- Realised P&L
- $-205.08
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 933
- Open portfolio
- $0.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded933
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 8? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.025 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.92at 0.187Solana Up or Down - September 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$9.72at 0.359Solana Up or Down - September 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$5.72at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$5.48at 0.496Solana Up or Down - September 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$5.31at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 22:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:49 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:43 | Will CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 10-08 22:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:09 | Solana Up or Down - October 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 22:00 | Will CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 8? | BUY | 0.067999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:34 | BNB Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 21:24 | BNB Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |