vitamind203
0xbb9fa551cd4625df96abc4c383f7f91f044485fc
- Realised P&L
- $-42.35
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $34.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.976 | 0.991 | $34.52 | +$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.72at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$6.52at 0.850Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$3.60at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
- +$2.98at 0.937Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 25?
- +$2.07at 0.940Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:32 | Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.9759999995 | $34.00 |
| 09-24 15:31 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.957999999 | $32.00 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9959107205 | $32.00 |
| 09-11 21:19 | Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.9762367597 | $31.00 |
| 09-04 02:20 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.00 |
| 08-23 22:53 | Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.00 |
| 08-21 02:01 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9828257117 | $30.00 |
| 04-28 19:51 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 03-29 02:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 01-21 12:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.7759999983 | $40.00 |
| 01-19 03:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.00 |
| 01-16 21:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.32 |
| 01-16 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.9939999878 | $46.04 |
| 01-15 00:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.00 |
| 01-10 22:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.33 |