Scarlettg
0xbb9dca907479482f7b91692ae3daffa83a240092
- Realised P&L
- $0.81
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.87at 0.590Pelicans vs. Pacers
- +$0.04at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 02:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 07:25 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $6.77 |
| 07-23 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.11 |
| 07-14 06:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.12 |
| 06-23 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 06:14 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 04-15 01:48 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.95 |
| 03-21 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.09 |
| 03-21 06:56 | Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $16.37 |
| 03-13 02:16 | Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.41 |
| 01-16 05:42 | Pelicans vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5899999986 | $12.76 |
| 01-12 03:54 | Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 01-10 08:22 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.996 | $367.88 |
| 01-10 05:19 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.997 | $368.25 |
| 01-10 05:14 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $372.29 |