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0xbb99596503c2c3758f1968415c6b6a4694e58889
- Realised P&L
- $44.82
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 791
- Open portfolio
- $0.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded791
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.24at 0.105Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra
- +$45.47at 0.140Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
- +$43.20at 0.156Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur
- +$32.12at 0.082LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
- +$29.26at 0.164Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:18 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 06:18 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.667 | $1.37 |
| 09-17 06:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.50 |
| 07-01 03:22 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.37 |
| 07-01 03:22 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.23 |
| 07-01 03:22 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.86 |
| 06-30 08:06 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.25 |
| 06-30 08:06 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.19 |
| 06-30 08:06 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.058 | $1.16 |
| 06-30 07:40 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.03 |
| 06-30 07:40 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $1.13 |
| 06-30 07:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.42 | $1.04 |
| 06-30 07:40 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.941 | $1.84 |
| 06-30 07:39 | U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-30 07:39 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |