MsRachel
0xbb8e808a298471ca04a658e6917e953eb88eaf0f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $434.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $56.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.051 | $56.93 | +$0.57 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.26 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.39 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.47at 0.002Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$67.43at 0.417Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$33.24at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$-9.78at 0.002Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?
- +$-13.98at 0.337Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 18:20 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.15 |
| 06-30 22:38 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999994 | $146.26 |
| 06-30 22:36 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.998 | $148.99 |
| 06-30 15:22 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.77 | $114.96 |
| 06-29 17:31 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999952 | $47.44 |
| 06-24 20:12 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.07 | $11.67 |
| 06-24 20:12 | Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $37.88 |
| 06-24 18:20 | Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 18:20 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-02 00:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $59.50 |
| 05-24 16:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.58 |
| 05-19 14:37 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0741866667 | $55.64 |
| 05-18 19:25 | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.73 |
| 05-13 16:30 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $7.05 |
| 04-13 19:02 | Will Don Hodgson win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada? | BUY | 0.0038121613 | $6.33 |