Generator
0xbb8e6477bcb4d0a79449507c607d36fd228fb243
- Realised P&L
- $-48.1k
- Volume
- $10.44M
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $15.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.5kat 0.436US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$26.0kat 0.412US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$22.4kat 0.259Trump trade deal in April?
- +$18.6kat 0.061Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$15.0kat 0.850Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 22:28 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2? | BUY | 0.7090236419 | $235.72 |
| 06-30 22:28 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.5694698688 | $2.0k |
| 06-03 23:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0558035466 | $40.47 |
| 06-03 23:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.7k |
| 06-03 23:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.2k |
| 06-03 13:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0368673863 | $732.82 |
| 05-30 18:00 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.8k |
| 05-30 17:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.41 | $816.66 |
| 05-29 23:00 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.5589580431 | $1.9k |
| 05-29 22:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BUY | 0.41 | $76.26 |
| 05-29 22:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $188.23 |
| 05-29 22:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $11.30 |
| 05-29 22:59 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.039 | $41.91 |
| 05-29 22:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $715.48 |
| 05-29 22:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $706.77 |