har-gow
0xbb8e35c58195397ee29beee3f2bd3bb326e82bee
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $120.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.195 | $1.8k | −$376.53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.315 | $1.7k | −$132.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.485 | $727.99 | +$68.88 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.355 | 0.165 | $693.54 | −$800.65 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.326 | $606.66 | −$117.52 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.395 | 0.400 | $313.23 | +$3.53 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.603 | 0.215 | $261.87 | −$473.13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.225 | $115.42 | −$35.19 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.310 | $82.77 | −$18.59 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.505 | $25.25 | +$5.75 |
| Buccaneers vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.575Bengals vs. Steelers
- +$1.6kat 0.605Rams vs. Eagles
- +$946.89at 0.588Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$696.42at 0.820Dolphins vs. Vikings
- +$679.90at 0.220Cardinals vs. 49ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 12:44 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.26 | $14.56 |
| 10-10 11:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.62 | $513.98 |
| 10-10 11:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.62 | $206.46 |
| 10-10 11:49 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.39 | $237.12 |
| 10-10 11:09 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.395 | $19.75 |
| 10-10 10:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3962004378 | $8.32 |
| 10-10 09:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4019999799 | $5.36 |
| 10-10 09:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3959999967 | $16.10 |
| 10-10 08:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.592 | $594.96 |
| 10-10 08:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $72.31 |
| 10-10 07:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 07:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 07:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 07:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 07:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |