0xBB8C143C5a24231590E1e911Cd6301AbE1b84364-1773430820384
0xbb8c143c5a24231590e1e911cd6301abe1b84364
- Realised P&L
- $-2.13
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $20.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $20.89 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.13at 0.991Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 1?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 16?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 07-06 07:29 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 06-29 07:08 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 06-22 06:34 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-15 08:13 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.48 |
| 05-11 03:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.52 |
| 04-27 08:44 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.84 |
| 04-15 06:43 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-11 05:28 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.68 |
| 04-09 12:30 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $9.12 |
| 04-09 08:51 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.26 |
| 04-02 08:16 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 07:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $606.72 |