Noganet22
0xbb647c8bb2328bf83712c321e2a35515842c3099
- Realised P&L
- $90.34
- Volume
- $702.86
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.868 | 0.833 | $2.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will UD Santarém win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dota 2: zxcursed Team vs Nix Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Group A · Nix Team | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.63at 0.055Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.310Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$4.06at 0.602Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group C
- +$3.02at 0.671Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Phantom (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs
- +$2.74at 0.512Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.44 |
| 10-14 21:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0515650439 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 20:55 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 10-14 20:54 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.42 |
| 10-14 20:52 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.35 |
| 10-14 19:47 | Will UD Santarém win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.90 |
| 10-14 19:46 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 19:42 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:40 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2999999689 | $1.93 |
| 10-14 19:14 | Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group B | SELL | 0.15 | $2.07 |
| 10-14 18:31 | Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $6.89 |
| 10-14 18:31 | Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group B | SELL | 0.5 | $7.28 |
| 10-14 18:06 | Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group B | BUY | 0.8965648842 | $13.05 |
| 10-14 17:58 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B | SELL | 0.999 | $13.08 |