PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3e4rw

0xbb62902563e52cef7bcbd5f6de8aa4fed7b9811e

Realised P&L
$-59.68
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
453
Open portfolio
$9.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded453
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.115$9.20−$10.80
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 3? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 2? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$2.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 29? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 26? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 29? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 25? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 31? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 2? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 23? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 24? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 18:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on September 2?SELL0.0383333333$1.15
09-02 15:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 2?BUY0.009$0.45
09-02 12:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 2?BUY0.01$0.20
09-02 10:27Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 2?BUY0.05$1.00
09-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 2?BUY0.01$0.50
09-01 10:07Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1?SELL0.18$0.90
08-31 21:36Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2?SELL0.18$0.90
08-30 17:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 30?BUY0.001$0.10
08-30 16:55Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 30?BUY0.01$1.00
08-29 08:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 29?SELL0.1$1.10
08-29 04:31Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 29?SELL0.15$0.90
08-28 15:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 28?BUY0.01$1.00
08-28 14:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 29?BUY0.02$1.00
08-24 19:37Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 25?BUY0.2$1.00
08-24 18:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?BUY0.09$0.90