3e4rw
0xbb62902563e52cef7bcbd5f6de8aa4fed7b9811e
- Realised P&L
- $-59.68
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $9.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.04at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?
- +$17.17at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 26?
- +$16.02at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?
- +$15.03at 0.060Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 23?
- +$13.01at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on September 2? | SELL | 0.0383333333 | $1.15 |
| 09-02 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 2? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.45 |
| 09-02 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-02 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 09-01 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-31 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-30 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-30 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 29? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 08-29 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.90 |
| 08-28 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on August 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |