0xBB61AFd3C4e11f1DA1357F24fdC707d6D5D1276a-1764419628695
0xbb61afd3c4e11f1da1357f24fdc707d6d5d1276a
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar47.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? · Up | 0.910 | 0.905 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.572 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.510Spread: Thunder (-17.5)
- +$5.15at 0.797Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
- +$4.90at 0.510Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$1.17at 0.810Heat vs. Wizards
- +$0.23at 0.930Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 11:07 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3549999627 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 11:07 | Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3449999702 | $4.00 |
| 07-11 11:07 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5724999781 | $6.00 |
| 06-17 09:09 | Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 01:59 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 01:50 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 01:37 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 10:00 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 09:17 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 03-10 11:37 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 11:37 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 03-10 11:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 11:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 02-08 13:33 | Clippers vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 13:33 | Heat vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.8099998736 | $5.00 |