0xBB6165F225467B1154F78145552d96b0F6414f74-1777905447614
0xbb6165f225467b1154f78145552d96b0f6414f74
- Realised P&L
- $-11.89
- Volume
- $167.50
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.135 | $0.77 | −$1.23 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.013 | $0.11 | −$1.89 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.440Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting?
- +$0.21at 0.290Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.085Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-0.05at 0.552Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?
- +$-0.06at 0.532Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 17:04 | Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 17:00 | Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.29 |
| 07-18 21:11 | Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.25 |
| 05-30 17:38 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.04 |
| 05-27 19:00 | Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:55 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 18:35 | Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.30 |
| 05-27 14:26 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 14:14 | Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 13:58 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 09:37 | Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 09:35 | Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 08:43 | Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.091 | $2.22 |
| 05-19 19:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0817745068 | $2.00 |