PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xbb5ED77bb948487842c14d9918FC09BCee2eaD2c-1770932048631

0xbb5ed77bb948487842c14d9918fc09bcee2ead2c

Realised P&L
$335.11
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
549
Open portfolio
$394.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded549
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? · No0.9600.995$82.92+$2.92
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? · Yes0.9380.964$82.21+$2.21
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? · Yes0.9400.945$80.43+$0.43
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? · Yes0.9690.932$76.95−$3.05
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.9540.975$51.09+$1.09
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · No0.9480.993$20.94+$0.94
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 7? · No0.9840.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.9400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.9000.000$0.00−$20.00
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 29? · Up0.9300.000$0.00−$18.60
Exact Score: Gwangju FC 0 - 3 Pohang Steelers FC? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down0.9300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:23Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.93$80.00
09-22 21:00Israel military action against Lebanon on September 22?BUY0.9321428571$65.25
09-20 21:22Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9615861202$80.00
09-20 21:19Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win between 50 and 59 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9668564505$80.00
09-20 21:13Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.9609561996$80.00
09-20 21:00Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.95$80.00
09-13 21:20Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?BUY0.9599999923$80.00
09-13 20:59Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?BUY0.9381237497$80.00
09-13 20:59Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?BUY0.9399999998$80.00
09-13 20:59Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?BUY0.9689999998$80.00
09-06 22:32Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.9541320853$50.00
09-06 21:01Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?BUY0.9699999942$50.00
09-06 11:14Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
09-03 21:28Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?BUY0.9479999989$40.00
09-01 22:36Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?BUY0.9259999811$40.00