muons
0xbb5e6475107b5b5399b1ae2f0a79513879375b83
- Realised P&L
- $-4.15
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 872
- Open portfolio
- $285.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded872
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$38.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$38.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$38.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$38.00at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 13:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $15.63 |
| 08-31 17:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999915 | $19.25 |
| 08-26 18:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.053999333 | $18.68 |
| 08-25 14:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $19.18 |
| 08-25 03:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0628924207 | $44.13 |
| 08-23 08:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0497125319 | $3.22 |
| 08-23 08:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0460602847 | $3.03 |
| 08-22 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.07 |
| 08-22 13:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 13:39 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1969489362 | $4.63 |
| 08-22 12:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999944 | $29.00 |
| 08-21 22:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 08-21 12:04 | Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1714284392 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 08:37 | Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.86 |
| 08-21 01:38 | Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1649713475 | $6.00 |