PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

muons

0xbb5e6475107b5b5399b1ae2f0a79513879375b83

Realised P&L
$-4.15
Volume
$29.1k
Markets traded
872
Open portfolio
$285.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded872
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.073$66.48$11.02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2460.190$65.37$19.23
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.038$60.73$32.51
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1580.120$54.80$17.27
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.508$20.48+$17.21
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1420.105$17.43$6.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 13:12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$15.63
08-31 17:41Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999915$19.25
08-26 18:14Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.053999333$18.68
08-25 14:51Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.065$19.18
08-25 03:28Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0628924207$44.13
08-23 08:15Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0497125319$3.22
08-23 08:09Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0460602847$3.03
08-22 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL0.08$0.07
08-22 13:40Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0479999912$5.00
08-22 13:39Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1969489362$4.63
08-22 12:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999944$29.00
08-21 22:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSELL0.09$3.60
08-21 12:04Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1714284392$1.00
08-21 08:37Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$2.86
08-21 01:38Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1649713475$6.00