PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBB5d81EAD5f2bF73cb3447476AEE1EE37fD489E0-1781619056015

0xbb5d81ead5f2bf73cb3447476aee1ee37fd489e0

Realised P&L
$-627.40
Volume
$44.1k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$161.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3600.355$126.21−$1.78
Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.5100.505$34.79−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.6350.000$0.00−$14.00
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 0 Morocco? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$2.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.0470.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.1610.000$0.00−$62.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.1020.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$68.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Down0.3830.000$0.00−$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.3660.000$0.00−$38.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down0.5280.000$0.00−$41.00
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$3.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down0.0170.000$0.00−$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 00:15Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5099999996$35.13
09-28 00:14Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999988$87.20
09-28 00:14Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSELL0.9466916168$126.48
09-28 00:11Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.5$66.80
09-28 00:10Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.35$72.06
09-28 00:03Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999996$114.90
09-28 00:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.5091223518$58.01
09-28 00:00Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSELL0.6063051784$149.16
09-27 23:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5231872127$38.72
09-27 23:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5061586786$87.07
09-27 23:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.77$8.57
09-27 23:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.7217449664$107.54
09-27 23:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.7507462687$50.30
09-27 23:53Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.5068757343$115.13
09-27 23:53Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.35$123.41