0xBB5d81EAD5f2bF73cb3447476AEE1EE37fD489E0-1781619056015
0xbb5d81ead5f2bf73cb3447476aee1ee37fd489e0
- Realised P&L
- $-627.40
- Volume
- $44.1k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $161.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$516.20at 0.427Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$492.83at 0.368Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$227.97at 0.756Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$166.80at 0.128Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$136.92at 0.266Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 00:15 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $35.13 |
| 09-28 00:14 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999988 | $87.20 |
| 09-28 00:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.9466916168 | $126.48 |
| 09-28 00:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $66.80 |
| 09-28 00:10 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.35 | $72.06 |
| 09-28 00:03 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999996 | $114.90 |
| 09-28 00:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5091223518 | $58.01 |
| 09-28 00:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | SELL | 0.6063051784 | $149.16 |
| 09-27 23:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5231872127 | $38.72 |
| 09-27 23:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5061586786 | $87.07 |
| 09-27 23:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $8.57 |
| 09-27 23:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.7217449664 | $107.54 |
| 09-27 23:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.7507462687 | $50.30 |
| 09-27 23:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5068757343 | $115.13 |
| 09-27 23:53 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.35 | $123.41 |