stanmetamask
0xbb58d102b3953c5ab94f7a9d906eb0fe18a8b890
- Realised P&L
- $-4.51
- Volume
- $567.91
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $110 in September? · No | 0.530 | 0.265 | $0.59 | −$0.59 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.830Will Solana reach $140 December 29-January 4?
- +$0.63at 0.711Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$0.38at 0.860US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
- +$0.35at 0.790US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$0.25at 0.800Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:19 | Will Solana dip to $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5299997951 | $1.19 |
| 06-12 21:16 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.909999971 | $2.20 |
| 06-12 21:15 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 21:13 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.05 |
| 06-12 21:12 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.979 | $2.68 |
| 05-08 23:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9109997057 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 11:44 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7109999034 | $1.95 |
| 03-18 17:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 15:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.08 |
| 01-06 15:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.18 |
| 01-04 11:27 | Will Solana reach $140 December 29-January 4? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 01-02 22:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 01-01 21:45 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.21 |
| 01-01 14:11 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 2? | BUY | 0.9199997792 | $1.50 |
| 12-31 23:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 1? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |