Luhmanc
0xbb4ef768f290597fc700ad0647348cc26f068171
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $21.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-45.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $7.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-1.5) · Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.760 | 0.745 | $7.84 | −$0.16 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.595 | $5.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) · Knicks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) · Magic | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.46at 0.517Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
- +$7.34at 0.266Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$6.54at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$4.22at 0.592Will AIK win on 2026-08-16?
- +$3.88at 0.667Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 07:53 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 07:53 | Spread: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 07:53 | Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $8.00 |
| 08-16 12:36 | Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.6148760261 | $6.00 |
| 08-16 12:36 | Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.6557142642 | $7.65 |
| 08-16 12:35 | Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 08-16 12:35 | Will AIK win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.5799999923 | $6.00 |
| 07-06 07:12 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 07-06 07:12 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |
| 07-06 07:11 | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 07:11 | Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 07-06 06:57 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.14 | $10.10 |
| 06-14 10:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0789999824 | $4.00 |
| 06-14 10:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999881 | $7.00 |
| 05-30 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $18.24 |