Ccccc888
0xbb4d05483c5bf06ecfca084e9f5e4cc4b5979d2c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $48.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.859 | 0.830 | $13.6k | −$471.58 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.681 | 0.548 | $5.28 | −$1.28 |
| Over $16M committed to the Space public sale? · No | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$998.94 |
| Over $20M committed to the Space public sale? · No | 0.686 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$646.88 |
| Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.288Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?
- +$571.39at 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$62.93at 0.764Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:57 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8452873428 | $2.8k |
| 10-30 19:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8164561659 | $503.60 |
| 10-29 11:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8047719114 | $866.00 |
| 10-28 15:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6809999862 | $6.56 |
| 10-28 15:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8701362181 | $9.9k |
| 07-26 10:24 | Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale? | BUY | 0.7506828615 | $200.00 |
| 07-25 05:26 | Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.2744301517 | $938.90 |
| 07-25 04:41 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.025 | $18.05 |
| 07-24 15:51 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.0598888889 | $53.90 |
| 07-24 15:49 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.55 |
| 07-24 15:40 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.03 |
| 07-24 05:13 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.3302649919 | $188.80 |
| 07-19 18:39 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5874999999 | $838.42 |
| 01-24 15:03 | AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | BUY | 0.26 | $646.88 |
| 01-16 05:22 | Over $16M committed to the Space public sale? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.08 |