dora1992
0xbb4a2fe42d5cfb219a6e07dfd56992df1f3ae720
- Realised P&L
- $19.74
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.449 | $1.3k | −$91.46 |
| Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.860 | $100.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes | 0.671 | 0.670 | $99.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.665 | $10.73 | +$0.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.21at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$-0.25at 0.093Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$-5.06at 0.790Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-42.61at 0.797Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:07 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4598327867 | $110.00 |
| 09-18 09:27 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4795204719 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 09:16 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3329999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 09:11 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3595961725 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3209279841 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 09:09 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 04:57 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $59.49 |
| 09-18 04:09 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5653623433 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 17:54 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6199999715 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 13:22 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.6713498961 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $22.49 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:40 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |