yitian001
0xbb39d687131eb59c79a2031d5cb0e762aa164add
- Realised P&L
- $-185.29
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $264.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.977 | 0.999 | $99.85 | +$2.15 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.987 | 0.994 | $79.52 | +$0.56 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.997 | $29.91 | +$1.71 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $29.50 | −$0.20 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.941 | 0.986 | $20.99 | +$0.95 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $4.95 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.08at 0.674Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$15.01at 0.430Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$6.38at 0.940Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$5.80at 0.939Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$3.89at 0.900Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on Feb 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-14 02:55 | Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 09-14 02:52 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-04 01:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.941 | $20.04 |
| 08-31 02:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $35.28 |
| 08-10 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.994 | $34.79 |
| 08-10 08:27 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 08-10 08:26 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 07-27 07:05 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.941 | $31.05 |
| 07-27 07:05 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.934 | $26.15 |
| 07-27 03:52 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 07-27 03:51 | Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31? | BUY | 0.981 | $73.58 |
| 07-27 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 38°C or higher on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.90 |
| 07-27 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.59 |
| 07-27 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on July 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.33 |