Ariel777
0xbb3559b5c40ba446ab9d043e6925e020a60db62a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $5.90M
- Markets traded
- 820
- Open portfolio
- $3.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded820
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.8kat 0.181LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
- +$9.6kat 0.327LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
- +$9.4kat 0.419Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$9.4kat 0.368LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$9.3kat 0.263Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:13 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-22 15:12 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 14:25 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4099999995 | $300.00 |
| 09-22 14:16 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6441219094 | $390.25 |
| 09-22 14:14 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6252495414 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 14:02 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5199162388 | $2.1k |
| 09-22 12:49 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.53 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 12:48 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.476994336 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 11:56 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.102281624 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 11:49 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3399999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-22 11:37 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 08:39 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $467.03 |
| 09-22 08:33 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 08:17 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $1.5k |
| 09-21 17:22 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $3.1k |