0xbb267ec866b438b9c171f9afbbfa6d5bd5f83ca0
0xbb267ec866b438b9c171f9afbbfa6d5bd5f83ca0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.19
- Volume
- $192.46
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $6.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.485 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.865 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.510 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.740 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.335 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No | 0.690 | 0.535 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.170 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.007 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$3.13at 0.400Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?
- +$2.67at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
- +$1.15at 0.472Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5
- +$0.86at 0.542San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:22 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6929997325 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:49 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 15:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:34 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:57 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:19 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:16 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999612 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3479999053 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:52 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |