annont
0xbb155fedeb9c2d35a1461eb2a95d857efb12626c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $269.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,121
- Open portfolio
- $254.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,121
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.56at 0.080Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1?
- +$152.51at 0.081Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
- +$119.00at 0.050Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?
- +$111.40at 0.040Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?
- +$105.88at 0.200Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 23:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.769999975 | $4.92 |
| 11-01 23:22 | Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.821 | $1.31 |
| 11-01 23:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.40 |
| 11-01 23:20 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 11-01 23:19 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | SELL | 0.836 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 23:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on November 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 11-01 23:19 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.163999998 | $8.19 |
| 11-01 23:19 | Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 23:17 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 11-01 23:17 | Will Tyler Warren have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election? | BUY | 0.9729999987 | $19.35 |
| 11-01 23:15 | Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 23:15 | Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.419999989 | $8.39 |