PolyBot

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Traders

annont

0xbb155fedeb9c2d35a1461eb2a95d857efb12626c

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$269.0k
Markets traded
5,121
Open portfolio
$254.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,121
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "A Wolf in the Suburbs" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8900.620$31.00−$13.50
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · Yes0.9740.637$28.62−$15.11
Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3800.225$22.50−$15.50
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026? · No0.9100.875$17.50−$0.70
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 30%-40%? · No0.8510.803$16.06−$0.96
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? · No0.9520.778$15.57−$3.47
Will there be 8+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season? · No0.8400.595$11.90−$4.90
Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7300.615$10.76−$2.01
Will Carnell Tate have 1,174.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8000.510$10.20−$5.80
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? · No0.8000.630$8.91−$2.41
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? · No0.9010.598$8.01−$4.07
Will Josh Allen have 13.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7700.660$7.52−$1.25
Will Malik Willis have 3,199.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7200.355$7.10−$7.30
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · No0.7000.725$7.03+$0.24
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27? · Yes0.5320.323$6.46−$4.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:22Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.22$0.00
11-01 23:22Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.769999975$4.92
11-01 23:22Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.821$1.31
11-01 23:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.83$9.40
11-01 23:20Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?BUY0.76$7.60
11-01 23:19Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?SELL0.836$0.04
11-01 23:19WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on November 2?BUY0.98$19.60
11-01 23:19Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?BUY0.163999998$8.19
11-01 23:19Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.2$4.00
11-01 23:17Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.71$14.20
11-01 23:17Will Tyler Warren have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.72$14.40
11-01 23:16Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election?SELL0.028$0.00
11-01 23:16Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election?BUY0.9729999987$19.35
11-01 23:15Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?SELL0.58$0.01
11-01 23:15Will the Houston Texans have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.419999989$8.39