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Traders

mantiss00

0xbb14cde6d45012362ab6a812f4217436028e14ff

Realised P&L
$-226.49
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$157.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9760.976$50.00+$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.9670.953$49.25$0.75
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · No0.9300.950$20.43+$0.43
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9430.948$20.11+$0.11
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · No0.9310.961$10.32+$0.32
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.7700.405$5.26$4.74
Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? · No0.9900.505$2.55$2.45
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$1.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 · Under0.5900.000$0.00$1.00
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.7500.000$0.00$1.00
France to score first vs. England? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.9220.000$0.00$2.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.6700.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 14:13Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.942999998$20.00
08-07 13:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9759999838$50.00
08-07 13:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.9669999832$50.00
08-05 21:03Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
08-05 19:21Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.9309999972$10.00
08-05 19:21Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
08-05 19:19Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.87$20.00
08-02 11:31Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?SELL0.75$1.12
08-02 07:36Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-01 14:30Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9709999165$10.00
08-01 12:13Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?BUY0.99$5.00
08-01 08:14Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?SELL0.75$1.03
08-01 08:14Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?SELL0.8$1.08
07-31 17:29Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?SELL0.9$1.20
07-31 11:00Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.75$1.00