Pettyfgbn
0xbb0d97bdf6a8f26af00ab801f7e0571a755bff48
- Realised P&L
- $-34.62
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $19.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs · Sinners | 0.690 | 0.665 | $19.95 | −$0.75 |
| Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-05-21? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.25 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.85 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$395.20at 0.500Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$388.48at 0.500Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$130.21at 0.500Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$129.48at 0.500Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$124.50at 0.500Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:08 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 09-09 09:12 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.45 | $14.85 |
| 08-24 08:19 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.994 | $7.49 |
| 08-24 08:18 | AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $32.25 |
| 08-24 08:16 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.994 | $22.47 |
| 08-24 08:16 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 08-20 06:12 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 08-10 11:19 | Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.71 | $20.59 |
| 07-17 09:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 09:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 07-17 09:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 01:45 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.6 | $14.40 |
| 06-22 09:51 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.68 | $24.21 |
| 05-25 08:45 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 05-21 09:25 | Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-05-21? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.25 |