sinayu
0xbb0a9abadb76f65cc2d33c665c75223447a84288
- Realised P&L
- $-3.98
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $13.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.994Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$0.74at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?
- +$0.67at 0.779Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$0.59at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:51 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.80 |
| 10-06 08:43 | Will Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.56 |
| 09-21 12:43 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.30 |
| 09-21 12:38 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.7699999342 | $2.34 |
| 08-28 12:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9979999942 | $14.70 |
| 07-19 08:29 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.60 |
| 06-07 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.998999961 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 09:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $126.00 |
| 06-07 09:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.00 |
| 05-29 09:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 30? | BUY | 0.9989999958 | $193.00 |
| 05-26 02:56 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.026741558 | $1.70 |
| 05-23 07:34 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $194.00 |
| 05-12 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $194.00 |
| 05-01 11:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 05-01 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |