8967X
0xbb0614d8e6582c6fb93d91260dd35eb3f050ef69
- Realised P&L
- $11.16
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $109.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $86.51 | −$0.04 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $23.00 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.95at 0.008Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.18at 0.006Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.60at 0.974Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?
- +$1.73at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
- +$0.75at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 03:12 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $29.26 |
| 02-22 12:46 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $24.84 |
| 02-13 11:08 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $19.80 |
| 02-13 11:07 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.985 | $19.70 |
| 02-04 06:59 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $106.35 |
| 01-28 01:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.99 | $105.61 |
| 01-20 01:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $18.70 |
| 01-20 01:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.98 | $85.00 |
| 01-13 02:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $12.80 |
| 01-13 02:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.992 | $90.00 |
| 01-04 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.68 |
| 01-04 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.00 |
| 12-09 00:27 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999989 | $102.27 |
| 11-26 00:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |