barbarapulcini
0xbb0232e5e1d43b0abcbd8e1f317734054357c246
- Realised P&L
- $620.77
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $85.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$943.94at 0.093Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$48.04at 0.150Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
- +$0.59at 0.022Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.006Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
- +$-1.00at 0.004Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:56 | Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $11.81 |
| 10-19 16:35 | Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $75.82 |
| 10-19 16:30 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.053 | $26.50 |
| 10-19 10:35 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.054 | $25.22 |
| 10-19 10:24 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.051 | $20.40 |
| 10-19 10:14 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.60 |
| 10-19 09:59 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $60.00 |
| 05-16 22:16 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $4.20 |
| 12-15 15:09 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.067 | $7.37 |
| 12-11 21:32 | Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.076 | $7.23 |
| 10-01 19:57 | Will Andrew Cuomo drop out? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.01 |
| 09-18 09:21 | Will Pope Leo visit another country first? | SELL | 0.305 | $94.55 |
| 09-02 16:07 | Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.55 |
| 09-02 15:53 | Will WIN win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.83 |
| 09-01 11:52 | Will WIN win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.056 | $4.48 |