PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbaFba9a1F11f68692f42349b04A0A5452eF12468-1772375318083

0xbafba9a1f11f68692f42349b04a0a5452ef12468

Realised P&L
$574.71
Volume
$969.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$496.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.030$442.72−$317.25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1410.029$40.38−$159.62
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.1020.030$12.70−$30.38
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? · Yes0.0220.001$0.79−$34.66
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$129.99
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$46.79
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 04:40Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?SELL0.0104284296$46.63
10-21 04:39Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?SELL0.047245915$216.57
10-21 04:32Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0562072418$100.00
10-21 04:30Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0500375584$500.00
10-20 16:48Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0545878034$400.00
08-21 01:48Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?BUY0.0447251684$200.00
08-21 01:46US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1495913165$100.00
08-21 01:46US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.1336020633$100.00
08-19 22:46Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.0472466604$20.00
08-19 22:46Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0210972364$425.26
08-19 22:45Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.977$99.89
08-19 22:45Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9779999972$100.00
07-26 11:27Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.024$80.57
07-25 03:30Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0235325667$600.00
07-09 22:03Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999998$130.00