0xbaFba9a1F11f68692f42349b04A0A5452eF12468-1772375318083
0xbafba9a1f11f68692f42349b04a0a5452ef12468
- Realised P&L
- $574.71
- Volume
- $969.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $496.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.030 | $442.72 | −$317.25 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.029 | $40.38 | −$159.62 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.030 | $12.70 | −$30.38 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.001 | $0.79 | −$34.66 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.99 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.79 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.079Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
- +$151.61at 0.015Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$85.13at 0.088Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.80at 0.100New pandemic in 2026?
- +$40.06at 0.010Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 04:40 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | SELL | 0.0104284296 | $46.63 |
| 10-21 04:39 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.047245915 | $216.57 |
| 10-21 04:32 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0562072418 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 04:30 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0500375584 | $500.00 |
| 10-20 16:48 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0545878034 | $400.00 |
| 08-21 01:48 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.0447251684 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 01:46 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1495913165 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 01:46 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1336020633 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 22:46 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.0472466604 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 22:46 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0210972364 | $425.26 |
| 08-19 22:45 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.977 | $99.89 |
| 08-19 22:45 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9779999972 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 11:27 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.024 | $80.57 |
| 07-25 03:30 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0235325667 | $600.00 |
| 07-09 22:03 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $130.00 |