PolyBot

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Traders

Falcon1-444

0xbaf7ec26a389d99c5950ab6d74ef93a553b55464

Realised P&L
$116.09
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$371.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.7600.960$371.16+$77.33
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1090.000$0.00$1.00
Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 16:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.75$180.00
01-19 15:06Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 19, 2026?BUY0.997$3.00
11-23 19:35Maduro out by November 30, 2025?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
10-10 18:58Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.8989999969$2.00
10-10 18:58Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.1089999139$1.00
10-10 18:57Will Bitcoin reach $138,000 October 6-12?BUY0.9979999645$23.00
07-25 08:26Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?BUY0.999$70.00
07-25 08:26Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?SELL0.9978191906$4.1k
07-25 07:47Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?BUY0.999$4.1k
06-30 06:46Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?BUY0.9989999716$34.00
06-30 06:46Will Solana dip to $120 in June?BUY0.999$20.00
06-30 06:45Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?BUY0.998999951$20.00
06-30 06:45Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?BUY0.998999951$20.00
02-24 07:20Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? BUY0.999$34.00
01-22 13:44Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? BUY0.999$84.00