PolyBot

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Traders

sgs123

0xbaf188d726fc1c56f2bc6243d42674a2d7d6cd78

Realised P&L
$-16.47
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$619.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 04:16Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.996$337.64
10-30 15:44Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.996$23.95
10-29 05:16Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.988$19.83
10-28 04:35Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.978$199.51
10-27 06:07Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.51$56.10
10-26 17:49Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9390608175$94.19
10-26 14:51Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.995$59.70
10-26 10:43Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.49$264.60
10-26 10:43Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.49$98.00
10-26 10:43Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.49$24.50
10-24 17:01No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.164$8.20