0xbae80efa3c0a1f4941f3b80500ccf121bfab6d74
0xbae80efa3c0a1f4941f3b80500ccf121bfab6d74
- Realised P&L
- $8.57
- Volume
- $116.90
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? · Yes | 0.830 | 1.000 | $6.76 | +$1.15 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.20at 0.532Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?
- +$7.56at 0.584Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$2.81at 0.749AFC Bournemouth vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.60at 0.970Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-11.60at 0.738Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 18:56 | Manchester City FC to score first vs. AEK? | BUY | 0.8299999926 | $5.61 |
| 10-20 18:53 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 16:14 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.5499999753 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 14:14 | Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6999999873 | $11.00 |
| 10-15 22:37 | AFC Bournemouth vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $13.37 |
| 10-15 19:51 | AFC Bournemouth vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7099999836 | $9.50 |
| 10-14 19:59 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.9299999995 | $18.86 |
| 10-13 09:20 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.84 |