0x01894E1872547eCFC9c971b5D14f3651f2227C61-1761656964231
0xbae5bf2388cc55a9775f8cf5b8b51f3b237d406c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.82
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.015 | $0.18 | −$3.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$1.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.69at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 26?
- +$-0.27at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27?
- +$-0.87at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?
- +$-2.09at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 25?
- +$-2.52at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2699999871 | $3.35 |
| 09-30 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.007747146 | $1.22 |
| 09-30 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0495110781 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0046234704 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27? | SELL | 0.1272201258 | $0.81 |
| 09-26 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.1569999939 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.71 |
| 09-26 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.0232837128 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0394045534 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0011746165 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0230057803 | $1.99 |
| 09-25 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.50 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2623205572 | $4.00 |