takeabreath
0xbae1ac0bdccf963c37bc0dacbd84159a424089bd
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$800.80at 0.560Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
- +$487.14at 0.592Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$418.97at 0.549Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$401.39at 0.245Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$363.52at 0.736Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 12:09 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 13:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6889628693 | $200.00 |
| 10-22 11:55 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0567842199 | $20.00 |
| 10-22 01:26 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-22 01:26 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $2.0k |
| 10-22 00:28 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $20.16 |
| 10-08 15:22 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.101 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 11:31 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-06 22:19 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $25.00 |
| 09-29 11:25 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $125.00 |
| 09-24 09:10 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 08:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $392.95 |
| 09-15 09:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 09-14 21:51 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2379999999 | $375.00 |
| 09-14 21:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0784231593 | $375.00 |