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0xbae18f55f869ed4d04030fb71be47eccaa053a47
- Realised P&L
- $124.59
- Volume
- $51.5k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$460.00at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$253.35at 0.089Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$198.06at 0.173Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
- +$154.81at 0.209Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
- +$151.55at 0.260US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:11 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.223 | $66.90 |
| 11-01 04:11 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.222 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 04:10 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.222 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 04:10 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.222 | $24.42 |
| 10-31 20:20 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $43.56 |
| 10-31 20:19 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.249 | $7.47 |
| 10-31 20:18 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.245 | $38.46 |
| 10-31 20:18 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.244 | $2.44 |
| 10-31 20:17 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.244 | $11.47 |
| 10-31 20:17 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.243 | $2.43 |
| 10-30 04:32 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $208.75 |
| 10-28 17:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 29? | BUY | 0.014 | $7.15 |
| 10-28 13:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 29? | BUY | 0.029 | $8.49 |
| 10-28 09:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 29? | BUY | 0.033 | $9.74 |
| 10-27 19:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 29? | BUY | 0.051 | $51.00 |