PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbae185Ff7F75aca3abca60825944Db511c05D8AB-1768668883859

0xbae185ff7f75aca3abca60825944db511c05d8ab

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$231.7k
Markets traded
397
Open portfolio
$199.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded397
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) · EC Bahia0.6300.625$119.05−$0.95
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? · Yes0.2500.255$40.80+$0.80
Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.245$39.20−$0.80
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6090.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$590.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-09-02? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-14? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$100.00
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-24? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$100.00
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC0.5900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:14Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)BUY0.6299999983$120.00
10-08 16:09Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08?BUY0.25$40.00
10-08 16:03Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?BUY0.25$40.00
10-07 17:04Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?BUY0.2299999993$40.00
10-07 17:03Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.4299999991$100.00
10-05 17:12Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.4199999984$100.00
10-05 17:03Spread: Sweden (-1.5)BUY0.6599999989$200.00
10-05 15:54Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.3899999991$100.00
10-05 15:54Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)SELL0.66$98.51
10-05 15:34Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)BUY0.6699999993$100.00
10-04 17:11Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)BUY0.25$55.00
10-04 17:01Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5399999976$100.00
10-04 17:01Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)BUY0.25$20.00
10-03 14:58Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.4$40.00
10-03 14:42Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5799999992$120.00