awj88
0xbae0cb49c2c6ce7b8bf15e02909352d4c0f66278
- Realised P&L
- $484.58
- Volume
- $89.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,881
- Open portfolio
- $8.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,881
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.09at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
- +$49.40at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?
- +$47.50at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?
- +$46.99at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
- +$32.42at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-05 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.1075 | $2.15 |
| 08-04 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.12 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 08-04 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 08-04 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2166666667 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.4553368913 | $6.83 |
| 08-03 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.24 |
| 08-03 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.60 |
| 08-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.81 |
| 08-01 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.40 |
| 08-01 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 1? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 08-01 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.60 |